MANIFOLD
Conditional on being elected president, will Ron DeSantis be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
3
Ṁ90Ṁ111
2030
18%
chance

N/A if DeSantis is not elected. Otherwise resolves the same as the unconditional version:


Probably the conditional is significantly higher because it increases the motivation of DAs who have a lot of discretion.

Market context
Politics
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