Resolution criteria
The Democratic primary election will be held on March 17, 2026. The market resolves to whichever candidate receives the most votes in the primary. Resolution will be determined by official results from the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/).
Background
Incumbent Jan Schakowsky, who was initially elected to the seat in 1998 and re-elected with 68.4% of the vote in 2024, is not running for re-election. The district has a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19, making it the 69th most Democratic district nationally.
Recent polling from October 2025 shows Biss at 18%, Abughazaleh at 13%, and Fine at 9%, with around half of voters still undecided. As of June 30, Abughazaleh had the most cash on hand of any candidate, while Biss raised the most during the second quarter.
Considerations
The race includes 14 Democratic candidates, though only the four specified answers are included in this market. No independent polling has been completed and publicly released yet for the race, so available data comes from internal campaign polls.
1,000People are also trading
@mods I accidentally added a bit too much liquidity to the market and was planning to take it out with withdrawal but I realised they no longer exist. Can you guys manually pull out or something?
@NotJeromeHPowell You can withdraw liquidity only on the binary market type.
For this brand new market with few established traders yet, your best bet might be to beg forgiveness of your participants, resolve it N/A due to a technical misunderstanding, and re-create it with the correct amount of liquidity.
@NotJeromeHPowell If you leave it open longer than the bare minimum, then N/A is not as good an option because more traders have traded.
I think a good compromise would be to find another trader who is interested in this question who would have supplied some liquidity, and have them pay you directly for your service. Then you don't have to N/A anything.