Will any UK cabinet member leave cabinet in April?
Basic
24
Ṁ5217
resolved May 1
Resolved
NO

Cabinet members as per https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers

Resolves YES if any member of cabinet resigns, is fired, dies, or otherwise ceases to hold a position in cabinet before market close.

Being promoted to another cabinet position does not count as leaving.

Losing one cabinet role when multiple are held (and thus remaining in cabinet) does not count as leaving.

All cabinet members being replaced simultaneously e.g. at a general election will resolve YES.

If you want to bet which cabinet member(s) leave then you can do so here.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

I’ve set up a rolling monthly market for next month onwards. I’ll probably maintain that until the election and then might either bin it or move to a quarterly format as I’d expect Labour’s first few months to be a bit more stable.

Brief moment of panic, but Graham Stuart is not / was not a cabinet minister before today. Might raise the odds of another reshuffle though.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules