Will Zack Polanski contest a seat in a Parliamentary By-Election before the next General Election?
13
Ṁ1kṀ9.9kresolved Oct 9
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Polanski is a candidate on the ballot sheet for any by-election that occurs prior to the polling date of the first General Election following July 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ642 | |
| 2 | Ṁ117 | |
| 3 | Ṁ113 | |
| 4 | Ṁ47 | |
| 5 | Ṁ46 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Zack Polanski be leader of the Green Party after the next leadership election?
68% chance
If Zack Polanski is leader of the Green Party going into the next election, how many MPs will the Green Party have?
32
If Zack Polanski is leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
5% chance
If Zack Polanski is not leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
2% chance
Will Polanski be leader of the Green Party going into the next UK general election?
75% chance
Will David Lammy lose his seat at the next general election?
48% chance
Will Basil Zempilas become Premier of Western Australia at the March 2029 election?
21% chance
Will David Cameron re-enter the House of Commons as an MP before 2031?
7% chance
Will David Cameron re-enter the House of Commons as an MP before 2036?
9% chance
Will Boris Johnson stand as an MP again?
29% chance