Will Zack Polanski contest a seat in a Parliamentary By-Election before the next General Election?
8
Ṁ1kṀ5152029
63%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Polanski is a candidate on the ballot sheet for any by-election that occurs prior to the polling date of the first General Election following July 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Zack Polanski stand in the Gorton and Denton by-election?
5% chance
If Zack Polanski becomes leader of the Green Party (UK), how many Labour MPs will defect to the Greens?
Will Polanski be leader of the Green Party going into the next UK general election?
89% chance
Will Basil Zempilas become Premier of Western Australia at the March 2029 election?
21% chance
Will David Cameron re-enter the House of Commons as an MP before 2031?
7% chance
Will David Cameron re-enter the House of Commons as an MP before 2036?
10% chance
Will Boris Johnson stand as an MP again?
27% chance
Will a party Nigel Farage is a member of win the next UK General Election?
38% chance