Will Basil Zempilas become Premier of Western Australia at the March 2029 election?
4
Ṁ250Ṁ2052029
21%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Assumes that Basil Zempilas remains leader of the Liberal Party - that they win a majority at the next state election - and that this results in him being elected as the next Premier of the State of Western Australia.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
2026 South Australian state election winner
The Premier of Victoria will be from which Part(ies) after the 2026 state election?
Will Australia get a new Prime Minister in 2026?
14% chance
Premier of Victoria at the end of 2026
Who will be the next Premier of Tasmania?
Prime Minister of Australia at the end of 2027
Will Zack Polanski contest a seat in a Parliamentary By-Election before the next General Election?
63% chance
Leader of the Liberal Party of Australia at the end of 2027
Will Josh Frydenberg be reelected to parliament before the end of 2028?
34% chance