Will Rupert Lowe be a Reform UK MP on
1st September 2025?
5
1kṀ4366Aug 31
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Reform MP Rupert Lowe has been reported to the police by Reform UK following incidents of bullying.
This is no doubt nothing to do with the fact that he has been publicly questioning the leadership of Nigel Farage.
Given this is all a bit contentious, does he retain the Reform whip, such as it is?
Resolves YES if this page lists Lowe as a Reform UK MP at 00:01 on 1st September 2025. Resolves NO if he is listed either as an independent MP, an MP for any other party, or if he has stood down from Parliament.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Who will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?
Will David Cameron re-enter the House of Commons as an MP before 2031?
16% chance
Will David Cameron re-enter the House of Commons as an MP before 2026?
5% chance
Will Nigel Farage complete his full term as a Reform Party MP?
74% chance
Will David Cameron re-enter the House of Commons as an MP before 2036?
16% chance
Will Josh Frydenberg be reelected to parliament before the end of 2025?
4% chance
Will Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?
21% chance
Will Rishi Sunak still be an MP by the time the next general election is called?
25% chance
Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
79% chance
[Metaculus] Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?
70% chance