Conditional on Labour winning the next UK Election, will they recover £1B of fraudulent COVID loans?
Basic
10
Ṁ309
2026
24%
chance

The Labour Party have announced that they will set up a COVID Corruption Commission with the aim of recovering up to £7 billion in fraudulent COVID loans. Will they successfully recover even 1/7th of that? https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/oct/08/covid-corruption-commissioner-recoup-lost-billions-labour

Resolves YES if UK.GOV spokespeople confirm that they have successfully recovered one billion pounds or more by market close.

Resolves N/A if Labour do not win the next general election.

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opened a Ṁ50 NO at 35% order

Investigation announced into £600M of contracts. So unless they're going to under-promise and over-deliver, things aren't looking so bright for YES.

Hey look, wheels are turning!

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