Will a US state vote on a ballot measure this year targeting LGBT+ rights?
16
75
Ṁ430Ṁ420
2025
80%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will resolve YES if a US state votes on a ballot measure this year would target LGBT+ rights if passed. The ballot measure should be considered anti-LGBT+ by many media sources.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will 2024 set a new record for anti-trans bills introduced?
89% chance
Will the set of U.S. states change this decade?
16% chance
Will same-sex marriage be federally guaranteed in the US for all of now through 2026?
96% chance
Will a US state officially change their flag by 2025?
98% chance
Will the US Supreme Court overturn gay marriage [Obergefell v. Hodges] before 2030?
11% chance
Will the United States elect it's first LGBTQ+ President in 2024
3% chance
Will same-sex marriage be newly legalized in any country in the Americas before 2030?
91% chance
Will a US state implement "lightweight marriage" by 2030?
10% chance
Will an openly trans Republican be elected to a U.S. state or federal government position by the end of 2030?
27% chance
Will Missouri pass an anti-LGBT+ bill in this session?
82% chance