
Will I break a bone by end of 2025?
12
1kṀ8152026
5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The market will resolve YES if any of my bones are broken before the end of 2025. If I discover that this market was manipulated and my bone was broken in order to turn a profit, that will not count for purposes of market resolution.
I broke a bone once before when I was a small child, but have since had no major accidents or bone fractures.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will I break another bone before 2027?
18% chance
Will I boulder outdoors by the end of 2025?
55% chance
Will I get in a serious car accident by the end of 2025?
7% chance
Will I get in a serious car accident by end of 2025?
6% chance
Will I be alive at the end of 2025?
99% chance
Will I move by end of 2025?
6% chance
Will I make it to the end of 2025 without breaking my glasses?
81% chance
Will I be able to bench my own weight by the end of 2025?
73% chance
Will I test positive for COVID by end of 2025?
31% chance
Will I have a baby by the end of 2025?
8% chance