Will I break a bone by end of 2025?
12
18
270
2026
5%
chance

The market will resolve YES if any of my bones are broken before the end of 2025. If I discover that this market was manipulated and my bone was broken in order to turn a profit, that will not count for purposes of market resolution.

I broke a bone once before when I was a small child, but have since had no major accidents or bone fractures.

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Do you participate in any outdoor sports, such as mountain biking or rock climbing?

@JimHays neither of those. Its possible i might go on a skiing trip in the next 5 years, but I would be pretty careful if so. I would play other outdoor sports if asked, but I don't have a habit of it now.