What will the inference cost of the best publicly available LM be in 2030?
1
360Ṁ7
resolved Mar 3
ResolvedN/A
87%Other
1.8%
.1-1¢
1.8%
10^-2 to 10^-1¢
1.8%
10^-3 to 10^-2¢
1.8%
10^-4 to 10^-3¢
1.8%
1-10¢
1.8%
10¢-1$
1.9%
1-10 USD

Consider the best publicly available language model in 2030. What will be the cost of the next word after being prompted with 2K words? This is an estimate of the best inference cost I can achieve after working for two weeks with whatever resources I have available.

Multimodal models that can operate on text count as LMs for the purpose of this question.

I will only accept answers that range over an OOM like so:
.1-1¢, 1-10¢, .1-1$.

I may trade in this market.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy