What will the inference cost of the best publicly available LM be in 2030? | Manifold

What will the inference cost of the best publicly available LM be in 2030?

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resolved Mar 3

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Consider the best publicly available language model in 2030. What will be the cost of the next word after being prompted with 2K words? This is an estimate of the best inference cost I can achieve after working for two weeks with whatever resources I have available.

Multimodal models that can operate on text count as LMs for the purpose of this question.

I will only accept answers that range over an OOM like so:
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Will LLM training costs fall 300x by 2028?

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