Will OpenAI inference costs fall by 100x over the next 18 months?
22
1kṀ57122026
32%
chance
1H
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ALL
Resolves to YES if either:
A fast model (in the same class as gpt4o-mini) costs less than $0.150 / 100M input tokens AND $0.600 / 100M output tokens.
A best-in-class model (e.g. gpt4o) costs less than $5.00 / 100M input tokens input tokens AND $15 / 100M output tokens.
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