What will my probability be that these ocean regions have been kept cool by sulfur emissions from ships until 2020?
5
150Ṁ682028
66%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to my probability on Dec 31, 2027. I don't promise to do much research, but I might.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will more than 20% of all transoceanic freight/shipping be routed through the Arctic before 2050?
75% chance
Will there be an Arctic Blue Ocean Event by 2030?
14% chance
Antarctica cruise leading to oil spill? Before 2030
15% chance
What power sources will provide at least 10% of the energy used in maritime transportation in 2040.
Can international shipping achieve the IMO target of 20% reduction of GHG emissions compared to 2008?
27% chance
Will the Gulf Stream system (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) collapse before end of 2030?
11% chance
Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2028?
71% chance