Was GPT-4 trained in 4 months or less? | Manifold

Was GPT-4 trained in 4 months or less?

5

150Ṁ52

2029

59%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If I become confident at >95%, I will evaluate this YES or NO.

This is for the base model in particular.

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Before 2028, will anyone train a GPT-4-level model in a minute?

Will a GPT-4 level system be trained for <$1mm by 2028?

Will there be an LLM (as good as GPT-4) that was trained with 1/100th the energy consumed to train GPT-4, by 2026?

Did GPT-5 finish training by November 30th, 2023?

In yottaFLOPs (10^24), how much compute will GPT-4 be trained with?

Will a GPT-4 level system be trained for <$1mm by 2030?

What is the main reason behind GPT-4o speed improvement relative to GPT-4 base model?

Will a GPT-4 quality model be trained for under $10.000 by 2030?

Will GPT-4 escape?

Related questions

Before 2028, will anyone train a GPT-4-level model in a minute?

Will a GPT-4 level system be trained for <$1mm by 2028?

Will there be an LLM (as good as GPT-4) that was trained with 1/100th the energy consumed to train GPT-4, by 2026?

Did GPT-5 finish training by November 30th, 2023?

In yottaFLOPs (10^24), how much compute will GPT-4 be trained with?

Will a GPT-4 level system be trained for <$1mm by 2030?

What is the main reason behind GPT-4o speed improvement relative to GPT-4 base model?

Will a GPT-4 quality model be trained for under $10.000 by 2030?

Will GPT-4 escape?

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