If I am cryopreserved, why was I not revived?
If I am cryopreserved, why was I not revived?
11
535Ṁ3783000
86%
Cryopreservation fails to preserve the relevant information at initial preservation attempt
86%
Cryopreservation organization goes bankrupt or otherwise stops preserving people
53%
Humanity goes extinct and in the process the universe enters a state in which I will not be revived
50%
Chemical processes occur in the preservation stage, destroying information
40%
Restoration is possible in principle and at some point there is the capacity to restore but it isn't attempted for some reason. EG too expensive, it's illegal, etc.
35%
After you're cryopreserved, there are breakthroughs that provide {much cheaper, more reliable, more efficient}(permute) methods that make cryo not desirable and eventually businesses built around that collapse
10%
Your brain is intentionally destroyed by someone, some time after preservation, due to fears of it getting captured by misaligned ASI
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How about markets for if you do get preserved and also come back? Like, what you will say, if you'll do play manifold etc
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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