Will the first publicly purchasable humanoid robot have built in object interaction restrictions?
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24
Ṁ1120
2035
63%
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First: A robot with significantly more capability then anything on the market before this market was created.

Publicly purchasable: can be bought with a credit card, no wait-list or restrictions.

Humanoid robot: must be human sized and have a torso, legs, arms, and fingers. Must include some kind of intelligence (example: can open a door automatically)

Built in: can not be circumvented by running compute locally or taking some kind of manual control. Jailbreaking doesn't count.

Object interaction restrictions: the robot will not interact with an object such as a gun or knife. Normal looking gun/knife.

No taping an object to the robot. Or putting a basket over it's head Skyrim style

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Unitree H1 does not currently count for this market because it does not have enough autonomy. Standing on it's own is not enough. If it could open doors out of the box it would count

Plenty of unrestricted humanoid robots exist. For example: https://www.robotshop.com/products/ez-robot-jd-humanoid-robot

  • publicly purchasable

  • has torso, legs, arms and fingers

  • has no built-in restrictions on any interactions

Resolves NO.

@a2bb those are not fingers. Also it must be human sized.

@NivlacM Aliexpress has versions with fingers. There's no size requirement in the description.

@a2bb it was not the intention of the question. I've updated the description.

@NivlacM I believe you should N/A this question if you don't intend resolving it according to the original criteria, since plenty of people have already traded based on previous criteria. See the community guidelines: https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Resolving-markets-5b35eec068fc413485832676afdf0a32

predicts YES

@a2bb @NivlacM The question said "will the first", future tense. I think one should assume that the spirit of the question did not have anything to do with robot toys of which there have been many in the past twenty years.

@NivlacM If by some kind of manual control you include someone taping a gun to the robot's hand then there is no point in this market.

predicts YES

@NivlacM Also anything can be jailbroken given enough time and effort. So the built-in section of your description would also need some expiry date to make any sense.

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