If Kenya leads a military intervention in Haiti will democratic elections be held before 2028 | Manifold

If Kenya leads a military intervention in Haiti will democratic elections be held before 2028

4

174Ṁ37

2028

59%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Conditional market. If Kenya does not lead a military intervention by 2026 this will resolve N/A

Sister market:

Update 2025-05-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated that for this market, the distinction between a 'military intervention' by Kenya and 'sending policemen' is not meaningful. The current Kenyan intervention (e.g., related to sending policemen) will count as a 'military intervention'.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will South Africa have another presidential election before 2029?

Will a Democrat be elected president in 2028?

Will Haiti hold an election before the end of 2026?

Will the U.S. have a free and fair presidential election in 2028?

Will Hillary Clinton be elected President in 2028?

Will Kamala Harris become President before February 2029?

There will be a US presidential election in 2028.

Will Haiti hold an election before the end of 2025?

When will the next Haitian general election occur?

If the US leads a military intervention in Haiti will democratic elections be held before 2028?

Sort by:

AFAIK there was never any talk of a military intervention by Kenya; the country is still making up its mind about sending policemen to Haiti. Do you think the distinction is meaningful?

@BrunoParga distinction is not meaningful to me. Current Kenyan intervention counts. The market is on!

@NivlacM I hope you and it don't live in the same country...

@BrunoParga and I hope neither of our countries require foreign intervention to restore order

@NivlacM if mine does, I hope it's just policemen and not military.

People are also trading

Will South Africa have another presidential election before 2029?

Will a Democrat be elected president in 2028?

Will Haiti hold an election before the end of 2026?

Will the U.S. have a free and fair presidential election in 2028?

Will Hillary Clinton be elected President in 2028?

Will Kamala Harris become President before February 2029?

There will be a US presidential election in 2028.

Will Haiti hold an election before the end of 2025?

When will the next Haitian general election occur?

If the US leads a military intervention in Haiti will democratic elections be held before 2028?

Related questions

Will South Africa have another presidential election before 2029?

Will a Democrat be elected president in 2028?

Will Haiti hold an election before the end of 2026?

Will the U.S. have a free and fair presidential election in 2028?

Will Hillary Clinton be elected President in 2028?

Will Kamala Harris become President before February 2029?

There will be a US presidential election in 2028.

Will Haiti hold an election before the end of 2025?

When will the next Haitian general election occur?

If the US leads a military intervention in Haiti will democratic elections be held before 2028?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy