If Kenya leads a military intervention in Haiti will democratic elections be held before 2028 | Manifold

If Kenya leads a military intervention in Haiti will democratic elections be held before 2028

4

174Ṁ34

2028

59%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Conditional market. If Kenya does not lead a military intervention by 2026 this will resolve N/A

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AFAIK there was never any talk of a military intervention by Kenya; the country is still making up its mind about sending policemen to Haiti. Do you think the distinction is meaningful?

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If the US leads a military intervention in Haiti will democratic elections be held before 2028?

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