Will AI girlfriends overtake real girlfriends before 2035?
33
107
650
2035
16%
chance

This resolves to true if and only if the number of individuals dedicated to AI girlfriends exceeds the number of individuals with only real girlfriends (unmarried) in the U.S. before 2035.

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bought Ṁ5 of YES

Not sure what data source/ definition will be used to determine the count of girlfriends, but the rising number of people living alone seems like important context

https://www.pewresearch.org/social-trends/2021/10/05/rising-share-of-u-s-adults-are-living-without-a-spouse-or-partner/

@JonahWeissman ok, but anecdotally, most people I know who would count as "unpartnered" in the above graph have one or more non-ai partners. If we're going by the metric of "not married or cohabiting with a romantic partner", I'd be inclined to bet on Yes here.