Will there be a Fortune 500 company with 10 employees or fewer?
13
425
Dec 18
27%
Yes, before 2029
30%
Yes, before 2034
15%
Yes, before 2050
22%
No, never (or after 2050)
6%
Other

Provided AI will take all of our jobs, when is a probable time for super small companies to be part of the Fortune 500 list? Fortune 500 is a list of the largest companies in the USA based on revenue.

Clarification: The total number of human employees at that company should be lower than 10.

Subsidiaries/3rd party does not count.

Fully owned subsidiaries would be considered to be part of the company. Like Meta and Facebook, and Alphabet and Google would be considered as one company. Let’s put the threshold at 75% ownership, anything below is allowed respectively.

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josharian avatar
Josh Bleecher Snyderbought Ṁ30 of Yes, before 2029 NO

At least four significant challenges to this happening:

  • sufficiently good AGI

  • at a sufficiently low cost

  • with enough of a moat against AI-based competitors (what would that be? not just intelligence, by construction)

  • without attracting so much (rational or irrational) political ire that it gets destroyed

tomzx avatar
tomzx

10 "human" employees?

What if they're delegating all their work to larger subsidiaries/3rd party?

NilsSkold1449 avatar
Nils Sköld

@tomzx The total number of human employees at that company. Subsidiaries/3rd party does not count.

Fully owned subsidiaries would be considered to be part of the company. Like Meta and Facebook, and Alphabet and Google would be considered as one company. Let’s put the threshold at 75% ownership, anything below is allowed respectively.

Today, if you delegate all your work you would not have the revenue to join the top 500. I suspect that to be true in the future too. For this to work there would have to be a lot of AI/robot “employees” at said company.