10 companies with 1b us$ revenue and <10 employees created and exist by mid 2028
Plus
7
Ṁ3852028
43%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
10 companies with the criteria will exist sometime before end of market. If it can be shown so, then YES
Criteria for a company
Private or public, but an independent company
<10 employees either before being bought, or at the moment it was bought
Revenue either now if it's independent, or when it was sold of >1b 2024 USD, inflation adjusted
As hunted at by this podcast with Marc Andreessen
https://youtu.be/Fw4p85jSfQc?si=xsKTQ837mRNQBWQH
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be more than 7 companies with market cap of > $1T by the end of 2024?
95% chance
How many trillion dollar companies will there be at the end of 2024?
Will there be more than 10 companies with market cap of > $1T by the end of 2025?
65% chance
Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030?
30% chance
Will there be a billion-dollar company with only one person by 2040?
37% chance
At least how many global companies will have a market cap of at least $1T on Jan 25, 2025?
Which of these companies will have a market cap greater than $3 billion at the end of 2024?
Which will be the first $10 trillion tech company?
Which companies will be in the top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2025?
Will there be a company worth $4T or more before the end of 2024?
17% chance