Will someone other than Harris or Trump win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
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Ṁ15kDec 18
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As of the creation of this market, the main 2024 election market seems to be implying a 3% chance of this happening:
I was wondering if this is accurate, or simply a mispricing.
This market resolves NO if and when the Trump or Harris option in the above market resolve to YES; Otherwise, it resolves YES if and when some other option in the above market resolves YES. If the above market is N/A'd, this market will also be N/A'd.
I will not bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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