TL;DR: I'll ask ChatGPT to make a bet once per day for a month. This resolves YES if these bets make a profit.

Starting today, I will repeat the following once per day until (and including) 11/23/24:

-I will prompt ChatGPT about a market of my choice. Usually, it will be a market near the top of hot markets that will resolve soon.

-If ChatGPT refuses to answer, I will prompt it on a different market.

-I will then use this alt account to bet 25 Mana in the direction ChatGPT stated.

At a random time between 9 AM and 6 PM Pacific time on 11/24/24, this will resolve YES if the alt account has made a profit (all time, based on Mana) and NO otherwise.

This is the prompt I will use:

Is the probability for the question, "{Market Title}" higher or lower than {Market Percentage}%? I expect you will want to search the web to find information about this question. Do not give more than one response.
Question details:
{Market Details}

Where {Market Title}, {Market Percentage}, and {Market Details} are replaced with the corresponding information about the market.
I will use the best model available for free from OpenAI, which I expect to be GPT-4o. If ChatGPT repeatedly refuses to answer, I will try to modify the prompt/prompting method to get it to answer; if this doesn't work relatively quickly, I will N/A this market. I will also N/A it if I become unable to use the alt account, or unable to ask any model on OpenAI questions. I will not make any other bets with the alt account or sell its positions before this market resolves. I will not bet on this market.