MANIFOLD
Will ChatGPT make a profit after all markets have resolved?
8
Ṁ1kṀ9k
resolved Jan 12
Resolved
NO

I recently made a market about ChatGPT's performance making bets on Manifold over the course of a month. ChatGPT ended up with a loss of around 40 mana. (As of the time of this market's creation, one of the markets ChatGPT bet on has been closed but not resolved, and it will resolve against ChatGPT, so ChatGPT's losses are larger than currently indicated)

However, not all of the markets ChatGPT bet on have resolved, so perhaps things can still swing in its favor?

This will resolve YES if this account has made a profit when this market resolves, and NO if it has not (as indicated by the all-time profit graph). This market resolves once it becomes impossible for the remaining markets to resolve in a way that would change the outcome. I will not bet on this market.
I expect this market will probably resolve before the end of 2025, as all but one of the markets ChatGPT bet on resolve by then.

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bought Ṁ8,662 NO

@mods resolves as no per creator's source of truth. https://manifold.markets/GPTTest all time profit

is negative; all markets are

resolved.

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