Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on Australia's Freedom in the World score as published by Freedom House in their 2026 report. The possible outcomes are:

• It rises above 95: Resolves "Yes" if the score is greater than 95.

• It stays at 95: Resolves "Yes" if the score is exactly 95.

• It drops below 95: Resolves "Yes" if the score is less than 95.

• It drops below 90: Resolves "Yes" if the score is less than 90.

Each option is evaluated independently and can resolve to "Yes," "No," or "N/A" as applicable. The official Freedom House report will serve as the definitive source for resolution.

Background

Australia has consistently received a Freedom in the World score of 95 out of 100 in recent years, indicating a strong record of political rights and civil liberties. However, challenges such as foreign political influence, policies toward asylum seekers, and constraints on press freedom have been noted. (freedomhouse.org)

In 2024, Australia's ranking in the World Press Freedom Index dropped from 27th to 39th, highlighting concerns over press freedom. (uts.edu.au) Additionally, Australia's Global Expression score was 84 in 2024, placing it 29th worldwide. (insights.uca.org.au)

Considerations

The Freedom in the World score is influenced by various factors, including political developments, legislative changes, and societal issues. Upcoming events, such as the 2025 parliamentary elections and potential policy shifts, could impact Australia's score in the 2026 report. Traders should monitor these developments, as well as reports from Freedom House and other reputable sources, to inform their predictions.