Will Eliud Kipchoge win another Olympic gold medal?
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28
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resolved Aug 10
Resolved
NO

"Come next year, Kipchoge will be older than every Boston Marathon men’s champion since 1930. Depending on what happens in the fall, he may also be fighting for a spot Kenya’s three-man Olympic marathon team for the Paris Games.

He will be older than any previous Kenyan Olympic track and field athlete and older than any previous Olympic gold medalist in any running event, according to Olympedia.org.

Kipchoge wants to become the first person to win three Olympic marathons, but three Kenyans finished ahead of him in Boston, including Evans Chebet, who has now won three consecutive major marathons (Boston 2022, New York City 2022 and Boston 2023). Another Kenyan, Benson Kipruto, finished third on Monday after winning Boston in 2021 and Chicago in 2022."

Source: https://olympics.nbcsports.com/2023/04/18/eliud-kipchoge-boston-marathon-olympics/amp/

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@traders while it’s obvious that is it for Kipchoge, I’ll wait until he makes an announcement about his plans to resolve.

The top ten finishers:

bought Ṁ250 NO

At the 30km mark, Kipchoge is over 8 minutes behind the leaders: Men's Marathon - Athletics | Paris 2024 Olympics.

bought Ṁ15 YES

@Sindre are you betting off of this or something else? if you don't mind sharing

sold Ṁ992 NO

@Bayesian yikes. Thought it was a bit overpriced anyways, but I got duped. Thanks.

Kipchoge just won Berlin. That should change our estimate.

predicted NO

@WilliamLane Was there ever any doubt he would win Berlin?

predicted YES

@NicoDelon definitely. He didn't win Boston! People were saying it's over for Kipchoge.

predicted NO

@WilliamLane Oh I think that’s just silly. Of course it wasn’t over. He’s crested though, and Kiptum is rising.

predicted NO

He’s training for Paris but sadly I suspect Kiptum or Chebet would beat him there.

predicted NO
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