Will Eliud Kipchoge ever win the NYC or Boston marathon?

Question

Kipchoge has already won Berlin, Chicago, London and Tokyo. He's recently run but not won Boston. The only annual major he has yet to race is New York City, which takes place in November. He said he is still undecided about NYC and is considering running Boston again in 2024.

Updates: See clarifications in comments.

Resolves YES if he ever wins the NYC or Boston title.

Updated (10/31/2025): resolves NO if he hasn’t won either NYC or Boston before he officially retires.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Apr 19, 2026 by Manifold Markets prediction market.