When will someone run a marathon under 2:00 hours at an officially sanctioned race?
27
175
1.1K
2051
2027
expected

That is, by what year...

The race must be sanctioned by an official national or international athletic body (e.g. USATF or World Athletics). The runner may be male or female, the race may be run on roads or trails. Some marathons allow pacers (which would not invalidate the record), but no officially sanctioned marathon allows drafting (e.g. by a motorized vehicle).

A bunch of related markets have been created since I made this one. Arbitrage as you can:

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:

Related

:

When will someone run a marathon under 2:00 hours at an officially sanctioned race?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition