Nico avatar
closes Dec 31, 2023
Will Boris Johnson lose his parliamentary seat before the end of 2023?
33%
chance

Boris Johnson is in the running for Conservative leader again. But there is an ongoing Privileges Committee investigation into claims he misled parliament over lockdown parties in Downing Street. Should they find against him, possible sanctions include suspension from parliament, and even expulsion, triggering a by-election.

This markets resolves YES, if Boris Johnson LOSES such a by-election, or otherewise permanently resigns his seat in the House of Commons. If he is expelled from parliament, but wins the subsequent by-election, it resolves NO.

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amoebus avatar

How did this resolve if there is a general election before the end of 2023 and he looses his seat then (out does not stand for re-election)?

Nico avatar
Nico
is predicting NO at 39%

@amoebus In that case resolves YES

ManifoldDream avatar

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