Will Boris Johnson lose his parliamentary seat before the end of 2023?
30
124
660
resolved Jun 9
Resolved
YES

Boris Johnson is in the running for Conservative leader again. But there is an ongoing Privileges Committee investigation into claims he misled parliament over lockdown parties in Downing Street. Should they find against him, possible sanctions include suspension from parliament, and even expulsion, triggering a by-election.

This markets resolves YES, if Boris Johnson LOSES such a by-election, or otherewise permanently resigns his seat in the House of Commons. If he is expelled from parliament, but wins the subsequent by-election, it resolves NO.

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bought Ṁ168 of YES

Boris Johnson steps down as MP with immediate effect https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-65863267

bought Ṁ800 of YES
bought Ṁ120 of YES

Boris Johnson referred to police over potential Covid rule breaches https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-65690243

How did this resolve if there is a general election before the end of 2023 and he looses his seat then (out does not stand for re-election)?

predicted NO

@amoebus In that case resolves YES

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