Will the Republicans have a majority in the House of Representatives at midnight, December 31st, 2024?
Plus
14
Ṁ2579Jan 1
96%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Note that this will be before the 118th congress is sworn in, so the general election is irrelevant to how this is resolved.
If the Republicans lose the majority during 2024 but then regain it, this question still could resolve yes. There is no path to an early resolution for this question. Tied numbers on the membership lists resolves "no".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the Republican Party control the specified State's House of Representatives after the 2024 election?
Will Republicans win the popular vote in the 2024 US House Elections?
35% chance
Will Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?
90% chance
If the republicans win the House of Representatives will there be a government shutdown by the end of 2026
64% chance
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2030 elections?
73% chance
Will "Democrats have full control over the House and Senate" at any point in 2024?
5% chance
Will the Senate Majority Leader in the U.S. be a Republican on January 25th, 2025?
98% chance
Will Republicans control all 3 branches of government at once before 2030?
97% chance