
Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?
38
10kṀ12k2034
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
President Biden issued several preemptive pardons for crimes which hadn't even been investigated or charged. Will the pardon of any of the individuals in question be ruled unconstitutional and/or invalid by the Supreme Court?
Resolves "yes" if the supreme court strikes down the pardons, or if any court below them does the same and there is no successful appeal. Resolves "no" if the supreme court upholds the pardons as constitutional or refuses to take up the case when the default is constitutionality.
Resolves "N/A" if the pardons are never challenged before SCOTUS and case law is left highly ambiguous as to whether the president's constitutional power to pardon can be used for offenses not charged or investigated.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will the courts strike down Trump's attempt at impoundment of funds?
If Trump self-pardons, will the Supreme Court rule the action unconstitutional?
28% chance
Will Trump's hush money convictions be overturned due to the Supreme Court's grant of presidential immunity?
14% chance
Will DACA be struck down by the US judicial system?
40% chance
Will the SCOTUS make a controversial, decisive decision in the 2028 presidential election?
If Trump is elected, will he attempt to pardon himself?
50% chance
Will SBF be pardoned?
3% chance
Will any sitting SCOTUS justice be impeached and convicted this decade?
10% chance
Will Trump pardon more people during his second term than any president during a single term in history?
40% chance
Will Trump pardon himself?
30% chance