Will Iranian government action cause the deaths of at least 10 Americans within the borders of the US in 2025?
24
แน100แน924resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve YES iff, by December 31, 2025, credible news sources report that either terrorist or "official" state actions funded and/or directed by the Iranian government have killed at least 10 Americans within the US.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000๐ Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน35 | |
| 2 | แน21 | |
| 3 | แน17 | |
| 4 | แน15 | |
| 5 | แน13 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Iran kill atleast 5 more American soldiers by end March
59% chance
How many people will die as a part of the 2025-26 Iranian protests before March 20th (up to 10k)?
13,384
How many people will die as a part of the 2025-26 Iranian protests before March 20th (up to 5k)?
5,417
100 US troop killed in action with Iran by April 2026?
18% chance
How many people will die as a part of the 2025-26 Iranian protests before March 20th (up to 100k)?
59,143
How many Iranians will be killed by it's regime in 2026?
38,942
If the US strikes Iran, how many Americans will Iran kill?
Between Feb 1 2025 and Feb 1 2029 inclusive, will at least 10 US civilians be killed on US soil by enemy action?
35% chance
Between Feb 1 2025 and Feb 1 2029 inclusive, will at least 10 US citizens be killed by US military members on US soil?
36% chance