Between Feb 1 2025 and Feb 1 2029 inclusive, will at least 10 US civilians be killed on US soil by enemy action?
4
1kṀ890
2029
37%
chance

This question is about civilian deaths due to state sponsored attacks only. Freelance terrorist attacks do not count unless found to have been directed and funded/equipped by a foreign government. The deaths need not however be directly due to conventional military operations, e.g. deaths due to covert Chinese government sabotage of US civilian infrastructure would count.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules