IF SCOTUS rules AGAINST state legislatures in Moore v. Harper before 2024, will a Republican win the 2024 Presidential election?
12
62
250
2025
47%
chance

Resolves N/A if SCOTUS does not rule against state legislatures in Moore v. Harper before 2024. Otherwise, resolves YES if a Republican wins the 2024 Presidential election in the United States and NO otherwise.

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