Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of state legislatures in Moore v Harper, blocking state courts from ruling on federal election disputes?

Question

Update June 15: if the Court dismisses the case as some parties are requesting, I will resolve N/A since the Court is neither ruling in favor of state legislatures nor blocking future action by state courts. That way we can focus on the question of law.

The doctrine at the heart of the case is known as the “independent state legislature” theory – the idea that, under the Constitution, only the legislature has the power to regulate federal elections, without interference from state courts. Proponents of the theory point to the Constitution’s elections clause, which gives state legislatures the power to set the “Times, Places and Manner of holding Elections for Senators and Representatives.” This market will resolve to YES if the court rules in favor of Moore AND also that state courts do not have jurisdiction over federal elections, only the state legislature does. For more background, see https://www.scotusblog.com/2022/06/justices-will-hear-case-that-tests-power-of-state-legislatures-to-set-rules-for-federal-elections/

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jun 28, 2023 by Manifold Markets prediction market.