Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of state legislatures in Moore v Harper, blocking state courts from ruling on federal election disputes?
39%
chance
Jul 1, 2023
M$273 bet
The doctrine at the heart of the case is known as the “independent state legislature” theory – the idea that, under the Constitution, only the legislature has the power to regulate federal elections, without interference from state courts. Proponents of the theory point to the Constitution’s elections clause, which gives state legislatures the power to set the “Times, Places and Manner of holding Elections for Senators and Representatives.” This market will resolve to YES if the court rules in favor of Moore AND also that state courts do not have jurisdiction over federal elections, only the state legislature does. For more background, see https://www.scotusblog.com/2022/06/justices-will-hear-case-that-tests-power-of-state-legislatures-to-set-rules-for-federal-elections/
LivInTheLookingGlass
I would be most interested in how this is different than allowing things like the NPVIC
0
Gigacasting
Don’t think they know what that word means. That said, if Vox thinks it threatens “dEmOcRacy” then I’m all for it. “ The Supreme Court’s announcement on Thursday that it will hear Moore v. Harper, a case that could concentrate an unprecedented amount of power in gerrymandered state legislatures, should alarm anyone who cares about democracy. The case is perhaps the gravest threat to American democracy since the January 6 attack.” https://www.vox.com/platform/amp/23161254/supreme-court-threat-democracy-january-6
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