Will Ali Bongo recover and hold effective control of Gabon’s government as at the end of September 2023?
Will Ali Bongo recover and hold effective control of Gabon’s government as at the end of September 2023?
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250Ṁ2157resolved Oct 1
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Resolves at midnight at the end of 30 September 2023, Gabonese time.
Control of all forces and authorities operating in the capital Libreville in its entirety will be used as a proxy for control of the Gabonese government generally.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
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