Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by October 31, 2025, Cameroon has a new president who has been officially sworn into office. The primary source for verification will be official announcements from the Cameroonian government and reputable news outlets.

Background

Cameroon's next presidential election is scheduled for October 5, 2025. (en.wikipedia.org) The incumbent president, Paul Biya, has been in power since 1982 and is currently 92 years old. (fr.wikipedia.org) In recent years, there have been concerns about his health, leading to speculation about his ability to continue in office. (bbc.com)

Several opposition figures have declared their candidacy for the upcoming election:

• Maurice Kamto: Leader of the Cameroon Renaissance Movement (MRC), Kamto previously contested the 2018 presidential election. (en.wikipedia.org)

• Cabral Libii: Representing the Cameroon Party for National Reconciliation (PCRN), Libii has been active in Cameroonian politics and was selected as the PCRN's candidate in May 2025. (en.wikipedia.org)

• Akere Muna: An international lawyer and former candidate, Muna is running under the Univers party. (en.wikipedia.org)

• Éric Essono Tsimi: An academic based in New York, Tsimi announced his candidacy in May 2024, campaigning under the platform "Nous Sommes Le Changement" (We Are the Change). (fr.wikipedia.org)

Considerations

While the election is scheduled for October 5, 2025, the official swearing-in of the new president may occur after this date. Therefore, the market will resolve to "Yes" only if a new president is officially sworn in by October 31, 2025. If the incumbent president remains in office without a new president being sworn in by that date, the market will resolve to "No."