Will Will Stancil be a member of the GOP within 5 years?
6
150Ṁ2822028
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Some things that would count for resolution:
Evidence of him registering for the Republican Party
Voting in at least 2 consecutive elections for the GOP candidate in his district/for president
A statement from him that he's switched parties or identifies more with the GOP now
Just to be clear, what wouldn't count is people saying he "might as well" be GOP over his objections.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
In 2025, will any member of U.S. Congress change their party affiliation?
65% chance
Will a Republican win Connecticut for President by 2050?
44% chance
Will a Republican win Illinois for President by 2050?
34% chance
Will a Republican win New Jersey for President by 2050?
40% chance
Will a Republican win Delaware for President by 2050?
48% chance
Will a Republican win Washington for President by 2050?
25% chance
Will a Republican win D.C. for President by 2050?
10% chance
Will a Republican win California for President by 2050?
19% chance
Will a Republican win Rhode Island for President by 2050?
45% chance
Will a Republican win Massachusetts for President by 2050?
18% chance