N.C. Young
closes Dec 31
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the bill receives Royal Assent, NO if Section 35 is activated and not challenged. If Section 35 is activated and challenged, resolves based on how the court case goes.
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N.C. Youngis predicting NO at 20%
Can't find anything about this actually receiving a court challenge, despite Sturgeon's insistence it would happen. The first dependent market resolves on 2025-01-01, so that's a hard upper limit on when this will resolve. I guess we'll have to see what the new First Minister has to say when they're elected.
N.C. Young
@CromlynGames Provided Sturgeon keeps her promise to challenge, yeah. (Which seems almost certain.)
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