Update 2026-01-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution criteria: The market resolves YES if you can change gender on a piece of ID that is allowed to be used as actual identification, without requiring Official Lengthy Approval from a doctor, in the year 2033.
New Zealand currently has this system (since 2012)
The market would resolve YES if the law stays the same until 2033
1,000@Jack1 It's whether you can change gender on a piece of ID that you're allowed to use as your actual ID to go around and show people, without having to get Official Lengthy Approval from a doctor or some harder obstacle. New Zealand currently has it, and indeed I would have counted it as having it since 2012; this would resolve YES if the law stayed the same until 2033.