Will a Democrat win the 2022 US Senate race in Georgia?
Resolved
YES

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AndrewHartman avatar
Andrew Hartman
is predicting NO at 100%

I didn't even remember betting on this till I suddenly recalled I was arbing on another market.

jack avatar
Jack
bought แน€50 of NO
MP avatar
MP
is predicting NO at 71%

Does this market becomes less likely to resolve to YES if Dems win in both Nevada and Georgia?

NcyRocks avatar
N.C. Young
is predicting YES at 71%

@MP Hmm. You might have a point - it's possible the Dems might get a little complacent if they have the Senate locked down.

DavidMathers avatar
David Mathers
is predicting NO at 71%

@NcyRocks That would require more trust in Sinema than I think they would want to extend (i.e. she might quite the party and refuse to caucus with them or something).

wavedash avatar
wavedash
bought แน€50 of NO

Related market:

a avatar
arae
bought แน€10 of YES

Fulton County numbers seem good

BoltonBailey avatar
Bolton Bailey
bought แน€30 of NO

This seems to be one of the few midterm markets where 538 is bearish on the Democrat, a good opportunity to diversify if you are a Nate Silver believer.

BoltonBailey avatar
NcyRocks avatar

"Will a Democrat win the 2022 US Senate race in Georgia?"

Will a Democrat win the 2022 US Senate race in Georgia?
Conflux avatar
Conflux
bought แน€20 of NO
(per FiveThirtyEight forecast)