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I didn't even remember betting on this till I suddenly recalled I was arbing on another market.

Warnock wins - called by AP: https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm-elections-walker-warnock-runoff-3d4e4d1ab1760792454e1cbd618ce332

https://polymarket.com/market/2022-us-senate-elections-will-a-democrat-or-republican-win-in-georgia is currently at 93%

Does this market becomes less likely to resolve to YES if Dems win in both Nevada and Georgia?

@MP Hmm. You might have a point - it's possible the Dems might get a little complacent if they have the Senate locked down.

@NcyRocks That would require more trust in Sinema than I think they would want to extend (i.e. she might quite the party and refuse to caucus with them or something).

Related market:

Fulton County numbers seem good

This seems to be one of the few midterm markets where 538 is bearish on the Democrat, a good opportunity to diversify if you are a Nate Silver believer.

"Will a Democrat win the 2022 US Senate race in Georgia?"

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/georgia/