Will a Democrat win the 2022 US Senate race in Georgia?
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resolved Dec 7
Resolved
YES

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predicted NO

I didn't even remember betting on this till I suddenly recalled I was arbing on another market.

predicted NO

Does this market becomes less likely to resolve to YES if Dems win in both Nevada and Georgia?

predicted YES

@MP Hmm. You might have a point - it's possible the Dems might get a little complacent if they have the Senate locked down.

predicted NO

@NcyRocks That would require more trust in Sinema than I think they would want to extend (i.e. she might quite the party and refuse to caucus with them or something).

Related market:

Fulton County numbers seem good

This seems to be one of the few midterm markets where 538 is bearish on the Democrat, a good opportunity to diversify if you are a Nate Silver believer.

"Will a Democrat win the 2022 US Senate race in Georgia?"

Will a Democrat win the 2022 US Senate race in Georgia?
(per FiveThirtyEight forecast)
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