Which parties will form the next New Zealand Government? (OLD MECHANISM)

MANIFOLD

Ṁ660Ṁ642

resolved Nov 25

100%1.0%

National-ACT-NZF

3%Other

1.8%

Labour alone

National alone

30%

Labour-Green

26%

Labour-Green-Māori

2.0%

National-ACT-Māori

33%

National-ACT

1.0%

Labour-Green-Māori-NZF

Via coalition or confidence-and-supply.

This market was made using the old multichoice market mechanism, which doesn't guarantee fixed payouts.

A better version of this market is available here:

Market context

Politics

New Zealand

NZ Politics

Get

1,000

to start trading!

2 Comments

10 Holders

32 Trades

Sort by:

I've decided to close this market, since it uses Manifold's old market mechanism. It'll still resolve as normal. Let me know if you want me to reopen it.

If you want to trade on this question, see this new market with fixed payouts:

"Which parties will form the next New Zealand Government?"

People are also trading

After the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?

Which New Zealand political party leaders will be incumbent on the next Election Day?

Largest party in the next New Zealand general election?

Who will be elected New Zealand Prime Minister in the next election?

Which party will finish third place in the 2026 NZ General Election?

Will the party with the most seats supply the prime minister after the 2026 NZ Election?

73% chance

Which parties will exceed their 2023 party vote in the 2026 NZ Election?

What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?

Which Party finishes 6th place in the 2026 NZ election?

Who Will be Deputy Prime Minister after the 2026 NZ election?

People are also trading

Related questions