If Biden is not the 2024 nominee, will it be by choice?

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resolved Jul 22

Resolved

YES

ALL

Resolves YES if he stops his campaign voluntarily (even if it seems he was pressured), NO if he loses the primaries, dies, or is removed from office via the 25th amendment or impeachment.

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#️ Politics

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#Joe Biden

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opened a Ṁ30,000 YES at 80% order

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bought Ṁ1,000 YES

You're obviously right. This is now a market on whether the president dies before August 22nd or not.

https://manifold.markets/Ansel/who-would-win-the-us-presidential-e-j8gx5ptrlf?r=QW5zZWw

1) Resolves N/A if Biden is the nominee?

2) This would be based on the initial DNC result even if, say, he were the nominee, but then had a heart attack after the convention and there was a replacement nominee prior to the election?

@JimHays Both correct

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