If Biden is not the 2024 nominee, will it be by choice?
US Politics2024 US Presidential ElectionPoliticsJoe Biden
Basic
42
Ṁ32k
resolved Jul 22
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if he stops his campaign voluntarily (even if it seems he was pressured), NO if he loses the primaries, dies, or is removed from office via the 25th amendment or impeachment.

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@NcyRocks

opened a Ṁ30,000 YES at 80% order

99%

bought Ṁ1,000 YES

You're obviously right. This is now a market on whether the president dies before August 22nd or not.

Related:

https://manifold.markets/Ansel/who-would-win-the-us-presidential-e-j8gx5ptrlf?r=QW5zZWw

1) Resolves N/A if Biden is the nominee?

2) This would be based on the initial DNC result even if, say, he were the nominee, but then had a heart attack after the convention and there was a replacement nominee prior to the election?

@JimHays Both correct

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