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Related questions
Will RL work for LLMs "spill over" to the rest of RL by 2026?
40% chance
Will an LLM that someone is trying to shut down stop or avoid that in some way before 2026?
14% chance
Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?
25% chance
Will an LLM improve its own ability along some important metric well beyond the best trained LLMs before 2026?
58% chance
Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?
89% chance
Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2025?
14% chance
In 2025, will I be able to play Civ against an LLM?
31% chance
Will Apple release its own LLM on par with state of the art LLMs before 2026?
49% chance
Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2026?
50% chance
Will there be any text-based task that most humans can solve, but top LLMs won't? By the end of 2024
95% chance