When will the third Starship Test Flight End? [resolves to one only]
18
274
1.1K
Mar 31
0.8%
Explode on launchpad
0.6%
Explode after clearing launch tower
5%
Explode on or after max Q
13%
Explode on or after stage separation
12%
Explode on or after second stage engine cutout
29%
Explode on or after beginning of re-entry
9%
Explode on second stage soft/hard touchdown
28%
No explosion of second stage
1.8%
Other

After seperation we ignore the first stage.
Disintegration on splashdown probably counts as an explosion but we'll have to discuss how disintegrated it is.

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@NathanpmYoung I think this should be extended for further trading until the launch.

I'm assuming this only counts the second stage after separation, so it doesn't matter what happens to the first stage after that?

Explode on second stage soft/hard touchdown

Does this include disintegrating in a huge splash after a hitting the ocean at high speed, even if it is technically not an explosion?