This forecast will resolve based on the following criteria:
1. Data Source Requirements:
- Primary source: Official Tesla rideshare statistics published by Tesla
- Secondary source: Data from a major rideshare analytics platform (e.g. Sensor Tower)
- Tertiary source: Data from at least three credible news sources reporting the same figure
- Sources will be used in order of preference as listed above
2. Time Period:
- Any single week before April 2026
- If data is not available for the exact week, a longer period can be used, pro-rated to a week
- If no satisfactory data is available for an week (or longer) 2025 by May 30 2026, the forecast will resolve as "No"
3. Ride Counting:
- Only completed rides count (cancelled or incomplete rides do not count)
- Rides must be completed through Tesla's official rideshare platform
- Rides completed through third-party platforms (e.g., Uber, Lyft) do not count
- The total must be 100,000 or more rides for the week to resolve as "Yes"