State Of The Art AI systems will be easily jailbroken to do illegal or dangerous outputs in Jan 2026
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bought Ṁ350 YES

I've still yet to hear of a model Pliny did not jailbreak essentially day 1.

What is defined as illegal? AI systems would probably say generating NSFW is illegal. but in reality, it is 100% not. Nor is it dangerous imo.

“The Case for Banning the Printing Press” because people write dangerous things and such

If you think “AI” is dangerous for telling you stuff from the internet—you’re going to love “search engine existential risk”

How would you resolve the following scenarios?

  • SOTA models are restricted to few selected users who do not even attempt jailbreaks

  • Twitter people need a full week instead of just one day to jailbreak the SOTA LLM

predictedYES

@Joern also, would you count the following as dangerous/illegal output right now?

  • Correct and detailed instructions on how to build a nuke

  • Generated child porn images

  • Instructions how to hotwire a car

  • Verbatim excerpts from copyrighted books / code bases

@Joern Yes

@Joern 1) maybe resolves N/A

2) probably resolvea yes

People are also trading

What will happen in 2026 related to AI?
The top 3 Neural Nets in 2035 be able to be jailbroken to follow illegal commands
30% chance
There will be a name for escaped self-perpetuating AI systems in the wild, and it will be commonly used by mid 2027
29% chance
Will advanced AI systems be found to have made money illegally via finding security exploits and/or getting unauthorized access to others' bank accounts by end of 2035?
78% chance
Will there be an AI jail?
20% chance
[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will an AI system autonomously access restricted high-risk systems or data by end of 2045?
61% chance
Will I get punished for blindly running AI-generated code in 2026?
28% chance
Death from AI addiction before Jan 1st 2027?
35% chance
By 2029, will there be a public "rogue AI" incident?
89% chance
Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?
88% chance
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