Neural Nets will be better at typical manual labour tasks than humans by the end of 2025
➕
Plus
24
Ṁ1470
Dec 31
6%
chance

Set criteria:

  • Move boxes better

  • Can build houses better

  • Can hold manufacturing positions

  • Can load a dishwasher in an unfamiliar kitchen faster

Inspired by tweet thread (note I've put them all as "Neural Nets will" so that they are all framed the same):

Link: https://twitter.com/RichardMCNgo/status/1640568776495353860?s=20

Mar 28, 11:24pm: Neural Nets will be better at typical manual labour tasks by the end of 2025 → Neural Nets will be better at typical manual labour tasks than humans by the end of 2025

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00


Sort by:
1y

Based and elephant pilled

1y

Maybe edit the title to "better than humans" (instead of "better")

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules