If there is an offered ceasefire and Russia doesn't accept, will the US pressure Russia in any way April 30th?
59
1kṀ17kresolved May 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves to 'Yes' if, by April 30th 2025, if:
There is a ceasefire deal proposed by either Ukraine or the United States
Russia doesn't accept it
The US pressures Russia in the ways below:
Relevant ways of pressuring include:
Announcing and implementing new economic sanctions targeting Russia
Restarting Ukraine lethal add/information sharing after the Russian refusal (but not before)
US boots on the ground
Otherwise this question resolves to "No"
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ745 | |
2 | Ṁ473 | |
3 | Ṁ314 | |
4 | Ṁ243 | |
5 | Ṁ174 |
People are also trading
Related questions
If Russia doesn’t agree to the ceasefire, will America provide more assistance to Ukraines war efforts within 90 days?
42% chance
Will Russia and Ukraine announce a ceasefire with an intended duration of at least 28 days before October 1st, 2025?
10% chance
If there is a second Peace Summit, will the Russia-Ukraine War end within 3 months afterward?
46% chance
Will Russia/Ukraine break their ceasefire before the end of 2025?
32% chance
If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years?
14% chance
If Ukraine and Russia agree to a ceasefire, will it last the agreed duration?
39% chance